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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677qinlaobanS-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (539–574, n=1113)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M-$75K$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #8PM monthly #718PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus73% (90 of 124 open)no open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)0%6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)48% (won 99% of 238)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)52% (won 99% of 262)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)0%55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677qinlaobanS-Works
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $567—Pelicans $6.3K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $273——Bilibili Gaming $386K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $4.2K——Pelicans $52K
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $2.5K—Mavericks $3.9K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.9K—Mavericks $3.6K—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Nets $155—Nets $41—