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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)74% (429–151, n=580)43% (119–158, n=277)no settled market71% (5–2, n=7)
Consensus PnL$63K$224K—-$7.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #29PM monthly #159PM monthly #701
Sides with the consensus71% (119 of 167 open)70% (19 of 27 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40—NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%—
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)—
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)—
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)—
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Magic $48Kings $5.4K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Cameron Norrie $245Taylor Fritz $4.8K——
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $633Celtics $3.3K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Holger Rune
Holger Rune $4.8KHolger Rune $48K——
Knoxville: Petr Nesterov vs Timo Legout
same side · consensus Timo Legout
Timo Legout $214Timo Legout $3.2K——
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $220Under $219——
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $298No $9——