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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #118PM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus76% (234 of 306 open)71% (70 of 98 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1SilentShark
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $41—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $92
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596—Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $367—Under $316