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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$4.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #118PM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus78% (39 of 50 open)77% (207 of 269 open)71% (70 of 98 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1SilentShark
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KNo $41—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845—Over $92
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $18
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632KNo $64K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $150——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $316