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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmpvc975
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)99% (14126–167, n=14293)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.6M$200K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #48was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus65% (166 of 257 open)74% (34 of 46 open)56% (9 of 16 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmpvc975
Real Madrid vs. Panathinaikos
opposite sides · consensus Panathinaikos
Real Madrid $2.8K——Panathinaikos $6.8K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $54K——No $3.3K
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $544
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343—Eastern Michigan $2.4K—
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Over $34
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $31