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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpsurfandturfRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (4635–4375, n=9010)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$4.1M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (55 of 85 open)0% (0 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpsurfandturfRN1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $7.7K
Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
Lucas Poullain $476—Yannik Kelm $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $19K—Rinky Hijikata $36K
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
same side · consensus Michal Krajci
Michal Krajci $57—Michal Krajci $270