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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpsurfandturfRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$4.1M$13.4M$19.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus71% (67 of 95 open)50% (1 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpsurfandturfRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $7.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $787—Mariano Navone $631—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $11K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $2.5K—Rafael Jodar $1.1K—
Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $1.4K—
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $310—Under $194—