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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpsurfandturfRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)51% (4637–4376, n=9013)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$3.4M-$77K$14.8M$194K
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus74% (129 of 174 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (25 of 45 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58——
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpsurfandturfRN1CORGII
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.5K—Under $4.5K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $7.7K—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.6K—Over $184—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.5K—Over $1.5K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $690—Over $260—
Villa Maria: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Mateo Del Pino
Mateo Del Pino $566—Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Grizzlies $222—Pelicans $129—
Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $44—Ozan Baris $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $7.5K—Cameron Norrie $28K—
Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $6.6K—Ryo Tabata $20K—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $11K—
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7.1K—No $2.9K—
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.9K—Yes $3.7K—
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Over $5.4K—
Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Eero Vasa
Eero Vasa $1.7K—Eero Vasa $4.3K—
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.4K—No $1.2K—
Exact Score: Pakhtakor 3 - 3 Al Nassr Club?
same side · consensus No
No $963—No $2.1K—
Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $126—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $754—76ers $114—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $369—Hornets $415—
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $236—Over $349—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Hornets $244—Hornets $278—
Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $386—No $49—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $169—Bulls $137—
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $173—76ers $99—
Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $168—Under $83—
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $12—Under $14—