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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | surfandturf | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (4636–4375, n=9011) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $4.1M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (66 of 92 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 12% of 147) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 95) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 60% of 99) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 91% of 151) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | surfandturf | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | — | No $7.7K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $696 | — | Mariano Navone $631 | — |
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | No $11K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar same side · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $2.5K | — | Rafael Jodar $1.1K | — |
| Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $310 | — | Under $194 | — |