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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FluffyMD2026RN1beachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)18% (2–9, n=11)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)68% (43–20, n=63)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)
Consensus PnL$9.8K$13.4M$5.8M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #975PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)71% (5 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93College Basketball −9 pts, n=137
Settled positions, side won40% of 5 at avg 35¢, ROI +37%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)34% (won 6% of 1254)
Entries 30–50¢60% (won 33% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)25% (won 36% of 922)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)29% (won 64% of 1045)
Entries 70¢ and up0%32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)12% (won 89% of 431)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFluffyMD2026RN1beachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.6K——Yes $3.5K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $65Yes $1.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $550——No $214