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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (15 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 53% (63 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.3K | — | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | — | — | Cardinals $1.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $59 | — | — | Over $2.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | — | — | Cardinals $2.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $2 | — | — | Ravens $93 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $9 | — | — | Bills $2.5K |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | — | — | Yes $934 |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $3 | — | — | Titans $766 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Under $213 |