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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FrozenParasiteBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)63% (453–267, n=720)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$155K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #875PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)74% (71 of 96 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won51% of 671 at avg 37¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 23% of 319)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 60% of 106)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 75% of 127)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 96% of 119)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFrozenParasiteBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K