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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPLCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (636–587, n=1223)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won81% of 444 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 81)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPLCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $64——Yes $82K
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $11——Commanders $42K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $19——Chiefs $465K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $63——No $40K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $118