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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPLbeachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (636–587, n=1223)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$5.8M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 99 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won81% of 444 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 81)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPLbeachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $64—Yes $82K—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $11—Commanders $42K—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $19—Chiefs $465K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $63—No $40K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $118—