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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Traders side by side
GayPrideRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)80% (401–100, n=501)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$654K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus57% (16 of 28 open)53% (55 of 104 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won81% of 500 at avg 65¢, ROI +12%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 30% of 106)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 74% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 94% of 62)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 270)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGayPrideRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $219—No $10K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $234—Yes $2.2K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K