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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GonTanaka | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (160–83, n=243) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #163 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (17 of 21 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −14 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 166 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 9% of 23) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 20% of 15) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 56% of 32) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 86% of 96) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GonTanaka | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | No $24K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | Yes $28K | — |