← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (749–1583, n=2332) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #366 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (183 of 237 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=166 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 2031 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1997) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 67% of 9) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gucky-45 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $825 | No $1.4M | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | Yes $544K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $588 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | Yes $1.0K | — | — |