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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Haradwaith | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (3263–4725, n=7988) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | -$460K | $5.6M | $4.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #256 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (542 of 760 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (35 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $63 | — | No $41 | — |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $187 | — | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $99 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $86 | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $66 | — | Yes $529 | — |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? same side · consensus No | Yes $254 | — | Yes $29 | — |