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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HerdoniaCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)90% (982–109, n=1091)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$57K$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #496PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus47% (21 of 45 open)0% (0 of 4 open)54% (65 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +48 pts n=371, ROI +48%
  • NFL +49 pts n=127, ROI +48%
  • NBA +46 pts n=226, ROI +41%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 17)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 99% of 353)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 497)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 98)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHerdoniaCORGIIRN1
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.0K—Bills $18K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $47—Under $2.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $435—Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $17—Cowboys $605
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $145—Magic $161
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $8.2K—Titans $39
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $7.0K—Titans $14
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $944—Bills $4.0K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $954
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $23—Under $228