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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (16 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (22 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $145 | — | — | Magic $161 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | — | Under $954 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $23 | — | — | Under $228 |