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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3488–2983, n=6471) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (23 of 29 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $36K | Commanders $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $4.8K | Commanders $10K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $459 | Commanders $1.2M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $13K | Commanders $30K | — | — |