← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HotDogs | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 94% (394–23, n=417) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=185 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 441 at avg 92¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 5) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 71% of 17) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 97% of 418) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HotDogs | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $3.6K | Commanders $161K |