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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KevindotoCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)78% (236–66, n=302)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$563K$4.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus96% (23 of 24 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −5 pts, n=11—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won84% of 525 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 15% of 48)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 55% of 20)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 61% of 28)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 94% of 429)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKevindotoCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.1K——Yes $4.1K