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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KimchiCapital | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (595–182, n=777) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $32K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (33 of 39 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Finance −1 pts, n=19 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 557 at avg 67¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 16% of 80) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 54% of 57) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 79% of 102) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 94% of 318) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KimchiCapital | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $8 | — | — | No $32K |