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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KnureKnume | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (208–261, n=469) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $131K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (14 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −8 pts, n=22 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 704 at avg 32¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 12% of 356) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 51% of 180) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 70% of 130) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 38) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KnureKnume | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $170 | — | — | Yes $4.9K |