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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LaarsY | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (2577–2480, n=5057) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | -$71K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (18 of 27 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2091 at avg 61¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 95% of 140) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 99% of 518) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 99% of 664) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 100% of 769) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LaarsY | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10 | Under $688 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $35 | Over $1.4K | — | — |