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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (651–564, n=1215) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #274 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (57 of 105 open) | 54% (36 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 48) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 100% of 40) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 175) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry opposite sides · consensus Andrey Rublev | Tomas Etcheverry $25K | Andrey Rublev $28K |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym | Jerome Kym $5.6K | Lucas Poullain $545 |
| Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $57 | Over $1.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Brandon Nakashima $216 | Matteo Berrettini $482 |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Sada Nahimana opposite sides · consensus Sada Nahimana | Sada Nahimana $354 | Franziska Sziedat $75 |
| Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini | Rada Zolotareva $123 | Rada Zolotareva $1.8K |
| Beijing Guoan leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $79 | Yes $1.6K |
| Exact Score: Port FC 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $61 |