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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677LightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)52% (807–753, n=1560)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$95K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #224PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (39 of 62 open)63% (26 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=77, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=276, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +24 pts n=19, ROI +20%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 100% of 76)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)20% (won 100% of 78)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 215)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677LightParadoxRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $4.7KClaire Liu $45K
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
opposite sides · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Loann Massard $6Thomas Faurel $7.1K
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $8Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maya Joint $846Maria Sakkari $3
Luanda: Wozuko Mdlulwa vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $10Wozuko Mdlulwa $8
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $12KQuentin Halys $11K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $12KPolina Kudermetova $5.5K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $1.9KFelix Gill $3.7K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $543Otto Virtanen $2.9K
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Filippo Romano
—Peter Makk $218Peter Makk $214