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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (648–562, n=1210) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14256–15876, n=30132) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #274 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (63 of 109 open) | 71% (30 of 42 open) | 54% (32 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 21) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 48) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 100% of 40) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym | Jerome Kym $735 | — | Lucas Poullain $641 |
| Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | Over $521 |
| Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $51 | — | Over $37 |
| Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova opposite sides · consensus Rebecca Sramkova | Moyuka Uchijima $47 | — | Rebecca Sramkova $32 |
| Chennai Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Polina Kudermetova same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova | Polina Kudermetova $3.7K | — | Polina Kudermetova $19K |
| Taipei: Tung-Lin Wu vs Chun-Chien Hou same side · consensus Tung-Lin Wu | Tung-Lin Wu $26 | — | Tung-Lin Wu $1.7K |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Sada Nahimana same side · consensus Sada Nahimana | Sada Nahimana $633 | — | Sada Nahimana $17 |
| Exact Score: Port FC 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $62 |