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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4LightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (43–20, n=63)54% (583–504, n=1087)47% (14178–15785, n=29963)
Consensus PnL$5.9M$23K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #319PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)52% (46 of 88 open)62% (38 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +25 pts n=237, ROI +29%
  • NBA +45 pts n=13, ROI +47%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=18, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 100% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)17% (won 100% of 48)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)14% (won 100% of 40)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)62% (won 100% of 175)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4LightParadoxRN1
Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Joanna Garland
—Jil Teichmann $996Joanna Garland $8.4K
Yokohama FC vs. Blaublitz Akita: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $624Over $3.3K
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $604No $1.1K
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $692No $51
Montedio Yamagata vs. Tokushima Vortis: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $206Over $282
Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4Yes $39
Taipei: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Omar Jasika
—Omar Jasika $2.7KOmar Jasika $5.3K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Teodora Kostovic
same side · consensus Oksana Selekhmeteva
—Oksana Selekhmeteva $49Oksana Selekhmeteva $4.3K
Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $368Yes $1.6K
Kataller Toyama vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $609Under $963
Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Blaublitz Akita
—Blaublitz Akita $69Blaublitz Akita $748
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Albirex Niigata: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $27Under $357
Kataller Toyama vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $219Under $124
Kataller Toyama vs. Vegalta Sendai: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $61Over $218
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $31No $168
Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $130
Yokohama FC vs. Blaublitz Akita: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $53Under $53
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4Yes $66
Ōita Trinita vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $18
Montedio Yamagata vs. Tokushima Vortis: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2Under $10
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Albirex Niigata: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3Under $4