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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 54% (666–577, n=1243) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #213 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (94 of 178 open) | 57% (45 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | Franco Roncadelli $9.9K | Rafael Tosetto $467 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | Yes $11 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $1.9K |
| Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Tamara Zidansek $1.0K | Bianca Andreescu $837 |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $1.3K | Rebeka Masarova $15 |
| Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus ŠK Slovan Bratislava | — | LASK Linz $65 | ŠK Slovan Bratislava $664 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $370 | Under $339 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $317 | Over $13 |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $282 | No $22 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $133 | No $137 |
| Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $9 | Yes $128 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $18 | Over $14 |
| Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $8 | Yes $17 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4 | Under $9 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | Arthur Gea $3.0K | Arthur Gea $13K |
| Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian same side · consensus Valerio Aboian | — | Valerio Aboian $2.8K | Valerio Aboian $8.0K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | Under $8.8K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | No $5.3K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon same side · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | Lautaro Midon $1.4K | Lautaro Midon $4.2K |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans | — | Kimmer Coppejans $817 | Kimmer Coppejans $3.1K |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Villarreal CF | — | Villarreal CF $3.3K | Villarreal CF $321 |
| Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina Papamichail same side · consensus Despina Papamichail | — | Despina Papamichail $107 | Despina Papamichail $3.3K |
| Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | — | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $334 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $215 | No $4 |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $111 | Over $95 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $81 | No $7 |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $9 |
| Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $49 | Under $1 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $42 | Under $4 |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | Under $24 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $14 | Over $1 |
| Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-09-26? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | No $5 |