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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (658–567, n=1225) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (66 of 128 open) | 58% (25 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 48) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 100% of 40) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 175) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Brandon Nakashima $9.9K | Matteo Berrettini $27K | — |
| Taranto: Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso opposite sides · consensus Gianluca Cadenasso | Florent Bax $22 | Gianluca Cadenasso $3.0K | — |
| Chennai Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mai Hontama same side · consensus Mai Hontama | Mai Hontama $46 | Mai Hontama $15K | — |
| Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | Kilian Feldbausch $451 | Kilian Feldbausch $14K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune same side · consensus Tommy Paul | Tommy Paul $7.6K | Tommy Paul $3.1K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka same side · consensus Alex Michelsen | Alex Michelsen $45 | Alex Michelsen $2.0K | — |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Maayan Laron same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte | Justina Mikulskyte $411 | Justina Mikulskyte $1.6K | — |
| Taranto: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller same side · consensus Hugo Grenier | Hugo Grenier $321 | Hugo Grenier $1.6K | — |