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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (666–577, n=1243) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 114 open) | 55% (83 of 152 open) | 60% (34 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $27 | No $3.1K |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $111 | No $507 |
| Cali: Elvina Kalieva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela opposite sides · consensus Irene Burillo Escorihuela | — | Elvina Kalieva $2 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela $62 |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $487 |
| Villa Maria: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Hernan Casanova | — | Hernan Casanova $69 | Hernan Casanova $11K |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | No $2.9K |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $25 | No $4.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Ben Shelton | — | Cameron Norrie $39 | Cameron Norrie $398 |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? same side · consensus No | — | No $374 | No $24 |
| Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov | — | Jurij Rodionov $27 | Jurij Rodionov $150 |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Maria Herazo same side · consensus Carole Monnet | — | Maria Herazo $13 | Maria Herazo $58 |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | Under $34 |