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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 54% (666–577, n=1243) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $23K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (87 of 162 open) | 58% (41 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Martin Krumich opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | — | Martin Krumich $3 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $4.8K | — |
| VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $27 | No $3.1K | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $269 | Over $1.3K | — |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $569 | Over $718 | — |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $172 | No $507 | — |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $497 | Over $55 | — |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $494 | — |
| Villa Maria: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Hernan Casanova | — | Hernan Casanova $69 | Hernan Casanova $11K | — |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $680 | No $10K | — |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $25 | No $8.3K | — |
| Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert same side · consensus Simona Waltert | — | Simona Waltert $503 | Simona Waltert $6.3K | — |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | No $2.6K | — |
| Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai same side · consensus Maxim Mrva | — | Michele Ribecai $25 | Michele Ribecai $3.5K | — |
| Charlottesville: Andrew Fenty vs Darwin Blanch same side · consensus Darwin Blanch | — | Darwin Blanch $399 | Darwin Blanch $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | No $1.6K | — |
| Chennai Open: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zhibek Kulambayeva same side · consensus Zhibek Kulambayeva | — | Zhibek Kulambayeva $1.2K | Zhibek Kulambayeva $19 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Ben Shelton | — | Cameron Norrie $44 | Cameron Norrie $1.1K | — |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $31 | No $515 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | Franco Roncadelli $345 | Franco Roncadelli $74 | — |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? same side · consensus No | — | No $374 | No $24 | — |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? same side · consensus No | — | No $142 | No $134 | — |
| Galatasaray SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $34 | No $82 | — |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Maria Herazo same side · consensus Carole Monnet | — | Maria Herazo $13 | Maria Herazo $58 | — |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $29 | Under $34 | — |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28 | Yes $5 | — |