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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (751–688, n=1439) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $92K | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #248 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (48 of 91 open) | 66% (61 of 93 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $106 | No $20K | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $5.2K | — |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $389 | Over $1.9K | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $103 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $559 | Yes $947 | — |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | Miami (OH) $20 | Buffalo $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $98 | No $845 | — |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $62 | Under $787 | — |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $66 | Yes $381 | — |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $359 | No $86 | — |
| Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-26? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $14 | Yes $427 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | No $431 | — |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $305 | Over $46 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $19 | Under $320 | — |
| Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $71 | — |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $27 | No $25 | — |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $13 | Yes $24 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | No $27 | No $5.8K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $8 | No $2.7K | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? same side · consensus No | — | No $687 | No $1.4K | — |
| Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Alexandre Muller | — | Alexandre Muller $226 | Alexandre Muller $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Akron $489 | Akron $767 | — |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $235 | No $420 | — |
| Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $374 | No $218 | — |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | Over $431 | — |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? same side · consensus No | — | No $143 | No $134 | — |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $32 | No $225 | — |
| Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $64 | No $160 | — |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $111 | Over $95 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9 | Under $119 | — |
| Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $74 | No $28 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $92 | No $7 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $44 | Under $41 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $68 | Under $10 | — |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $50 | Under $10 | — |
| Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $22 | Under $37 | — |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | Over $32 | — |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $17 | Under $8 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $15 | Over $1 | — |