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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankLightParadoxRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)54% (691–600, n=1291)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$23K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #213PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus57% (64 of 113 open)54% (44 of 81 open)50% (37 of 74 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=77, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=276, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +24 pts n=19, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)6% (won 100% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)19% (won 100% of 76)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)20% (won 100% of 78)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 215)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankLightParadoxRN1sainttroplay
Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
—Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.0KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $7.6K—
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Dylan Dietrich
opposite sides · consensus Marcos Giron
—Dylan Dietrich $3.3KMarcos Giron $784—
Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
opposite sides · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
—Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $2.0KLuis Felipe Miguel $1.3K—
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Lucas Da Silva $5Lautaro Midon $2.9K—
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.5KNo $1.0K—
Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
—Marina Bassols Ribera $2.3KSofia Costoulas $4—
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $22Over $1.4K—
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Tamara Zidansek $15Bianca Andreescu $899—
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $19—
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $15KFranco Roncadelli $9.5K—
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert
same side · consensus Simona Waltert
—Simona Waltert $3.3KSimona Waltert $5.4K—
Costa do Sauipe: Daniel Galan vs Gonzalo Bueno
same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Daniel Galan $1.6KDaniel Galan $4.9K—
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
—Kimmer Coppejans $192Kimmer Coppejans $2.0K—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $282Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
—No $139No $130—
Sportivo San Lorenzo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $126No $139—
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $26No $46—
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
—Rebeka Masarova $33Rebeka Masarova $12—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $22Over $19—
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
—Valentino Grippo $9Valentino Grippo $11—