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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 54% (691–600, n=1291) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $23K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #224 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (45 of 84 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 58% (56 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $106 | — | No $20K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $5.1K |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $383 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $555 | — | Yes $962 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $100 | — | No $846 |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | Miami (OH) $17 | — | Buffalo $878 |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $62 | — | Under $793 |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $64 | — | Yes $409 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $431 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $312 | — | Over $46 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $19 | — | Under $317 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $157 | — | No $156 |
| Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $64 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14 | — | Yes $22 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | No $19 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | No $27 | — | No $5.8K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $8 | — | No $2.7K |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? same side · consensus No | — | No $688 | — | No $1.4K |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $282 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $374 | — | No $218 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $110 | — | No $365 |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | — | Over $431 |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? same side · consensus No | — | No $139 | — | No $130 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $32 | — | No $225 |
| Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $66 | — | No $164 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9 | — | Under $118 |
| Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $73 | — | No $27 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $91 | — | No $7 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $45 | — | Under $42 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $68 | — | Under $10 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $26 | — | No $46 |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $49 | — | Under $10 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | — | Over $34 |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $22 | — | Over $19 |
| Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Alexandre Muller | — | Yaroslav Demin $7 | — | Yaroslav Demin $22 |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $17 | — | Under $8 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $14 | — | Over $1 |