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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Likaseentndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (256–327, n=583)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$31K$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #113PM monthly #140PM monthly #55PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)73% (33 of 45 open)54% (82 of 152 open)61% (108 of 176 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=23NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢56% (won 1% of 187)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 14% of 7)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 70% of 10)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 98% of 127)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLikaseentndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $114No $4.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $988
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
——Gustavo Heide $10Juan Carlos Prado $2.3K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $210Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $740Solana Sierra $476
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $124
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
——Carlos Maria Zarate $21Lucio Ratti $18
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $896Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $249Yes $4.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $23Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.4K
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $271Hornets $129
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $27Under $147
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $4Pelicans $121
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 1 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $90