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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 53% (57 of 108 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $12 | Wilson Leite $12K | — | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $27 | No $4.1K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | No $26K | — | — |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $272 | No $6.7K | — | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $417 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $540 | No $516 | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $20 | Yes $108 | — | — |