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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LinaBellRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (782–495, n=1277)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$108K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)54% (33 of 61 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −8 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won52% of 1586 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 10% of 651)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 44% of 186)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 71% of 147)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 95% of 602)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLinaBellRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $4.1K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K