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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LuckyWin | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (771–112, n=883) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 828 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 7% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 42% of 33) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 56% of 50) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 83% (won 99% of 689) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LuckyWin | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $40K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | No $35K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | No $22K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $4.1K |