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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MigRodromnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)39% (14–22, n=36)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$115K$3.0M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #213PM monthly #56PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)55% (102 of 185 open)no open consensus position67% (113 of 168 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 35¢, ROI +64%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 100% of 5)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 8)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢0%38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMigRodromnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $59—Learner Tien $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Franziska Sziedat $213—Martyna Kubka $2.4K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Alexandre Aubriot $2.5K—Henri Haupt $54
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
—Isabella Shinikova $4—Gina Feistel $1.7K
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Eric Vanshelboim $663—Ignacio Parisca $302
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Robert Guna $24—Tomas Curras Abasolo $929
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $663
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Bruno Pujol Navarro $67—Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Aren Baybars $2—Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Lisa Pigato $46—Gaia Maduzzi $56
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Michael Wright $3—Jeremy Gschwendtner $56
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $10K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $37KNo $11——
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $29—Over $7.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Ignacio Buse $2.7KIgnacio Buse $129——
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—Yes $458
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $18—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $96—Jeline Vandromme $679
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $37—Pia Lovric $250