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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MinevaJ | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (533–340, n=873) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | -$45K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #827 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 701 at avg 72¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 76% of 63) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 85% of 75) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 96% of 129) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 434) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MinevaJ | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $764 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $558 | — | Over $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | Over $382 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Steelers $14 | Steelers $963 |