← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (161–47, n=208) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (27 of 31 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=27 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 33) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 79% of 19) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 71% of 31) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 94% of 102) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $266 | Yes $65 | — | — |