← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (15 of 37 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2411 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1149) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 989) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $192 | Bills $378K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $102 | Raiders $171K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $34 | Raiders $104K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $25 | Chiefs $44K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $21 | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $49 | Raiders $17K | — |