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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (9 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2419 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1153) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 993) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $89 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $104 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $148 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $70 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $20 | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $73 | — | — | Rams $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10 | — | — | Over $7 |