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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NotJump | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (3242–6178, n=9420) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $435K | $13.4M | $19.1M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 94% (15 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −31 pts, n=51 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 4267 at avg 45¢, ROI −9% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 4% of 1603) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 20% of 790) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 43% of 856) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 86% of 1018) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NotJump | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $134 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $2.3K | Alejandro Tabilo $59 | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne opposite sides · consensus Xinyu Wang | Adithya Karunaratne $22 | Xinyu Wang $1.8K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $4.4K | Luca Van Assche $1.5K | — | — |
| Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj | Yasmine Kabbaj $5 | Yasmine Kabbaj $5.5K | — | — |