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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
P1kasoCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)69% (617–271, n=888)62% (393–246, n=639)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (985–968, n=1953)
Consensus PnL$102K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #665PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)33% (1 of 3 open)81% (58 of 72 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=69———
Settled positions, side won74% of 761 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 7% of 133)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 57% of 76)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 72% of 114)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 438)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketP1kasoCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K—No $202K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9K—Yes $85K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—Yes $13K—