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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| P1kaso | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (625–279, n=904) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $101K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #665 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=69 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 763 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 133) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 57% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 72% of 114) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 97% of 439) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | P1kaso | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.7K | — | Yes $13K | — |