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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PetuniaPettigrewCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$19K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #783PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (72 of 98 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 62¢, ROI +27%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 0% of 1)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPetuniaPettigrewCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $7.4K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $119—No $252K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.5K—Yes $169K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.1K—Yes $37K—